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The Miami Heat host the San Antonio Spurs in a cross-conference game on Saturday. The Heat are 12-14 overall and 9-5 at home this season, with the Spurs entering at 7-18 overall and 3-8 in road games. Jakob Poeltl (knee), Jeremy Sochan (quad), Blake Wesley (knee), and Keita Bates-Diop (foot) are out for the Spurs, with Devin Vassell (knee) listed as questionable. Gabe Vincent (knee) and Omer Yurtseven (ankle) are out for the Heat, with Dewayne Dedmon listed as questionable. Jimmy Butler (knee) is listed as probable.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Miami as a 12-point home favorite for this 5 p.m. ET tip. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 223.5 in the latest Spurs vs. Heat odds. Before making any Heat vs. Spurs picks, be sure to to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 8 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 111-70 roll on all top-rated NBA picks that dates back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Spurs and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines and trends for Spurs vs. Heat:
San Antonio is struggling overall, but the Spurs do have sound fundamentals on offense. The Spurs are No. 4 in the NBA in assists, averaging 27.7 helpers per game. San Antonio is also in the top three in assist percentage, producing an assist on 66.0% of field goals. The Spurs are in the top 10 of the league in both offensive rebound rate (29.3%) and second-chance points (15.2 per game), and San Antonio generates 14.8 fast-break points per game.
San Antonio is in the top eight in points in the paint (52.9 per game), and the Spurs are also facing a Miami team that is just No. 25 in the NBA in offensive efficiency with 109.5 points per 100 possessions. The Spurs are No. 6 in the league in free throw prevention, giving up only 21.5 attempts per game.
Miami’s offense isn’t performing at its peak so far this season, but the Heat are No. 2 in the NBA in free throw accuracy at 83.9%. Miami is also in the top eight of the NBA in ball security, committing only 14.1 turnovers per game, and the Heat are facing a porous Spurs defense. San Antonio is last in the league in allowing 118.2 points per 100 possessions, and the Spurs are also giving up 27.8 assists per game, most in the NBA.
Opponents are shooting 50.6% from the field and 39.7% from 3-point range against the Spurs, and Miami is the superior defensive team. The Heat lead the NBA in preventing points in the paint and free throw attempts, and Miami is allowing nearly seven points fewer per 100 possessions than San Antonio. The Heat are also adept at creating havoc, producing 16.0 turnovers and 7.8 steals per game.
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting 236 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time. You can only see the model’s NBA picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Heat vs. Spurs? And which side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
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Heat vs. Spurs predictions, odds, line, spread: 2022 NBA picks, Dec. 10 best bets from proven model – CBS Sports